Fast Rises, Slow Declines: Asymmetric Unemployment Dynamics with Matching Frictions

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2023
Volume: 55
Issue: 2-3
Pages: 349-378

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I argue that the textbook search‐and‐matching model cannot generate the observed cyclical asymmetry in the unemployment rate. In the United States, the unemployment rate rises quickly and abruptly at the onset of recessions and declines slowly and gradually during expansions. This pattern produces positive skewness in the distribution of unemployment rate changes, while the model generates a counterfactually negative skewness. Moreover, I show that the model's inability to replicate the cyclical asymmetry in the data stands regardless of its ability to generate realistic volatility in unemployment rate fluctuations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:55:y:2023:i:2-3:p:349-378
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25