The Economic Effects of Public Financing: Evidence from Municipal Bond Ratings Recalibration

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2017
Volume: 30
Issue: 9
Pages: 3223-3268

Authors (3)

Manuel Adelino (not in RePEc) Igor Cunha (not in RePEc) Miguel A. Ferreira (Universidade Nova de Lisboa)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show that municipalities’ financial constraints can have a significant impact on local employment and growth. We identify these effects by exploiting exogenous upgrades in U.S. municipal bond ratings caused by Moody’s recalibration of its ratings scale in 2010. We find that local governments increase expenditures because their debt capacity expands following a rating upgrade. These expenditures have an estimated local income multiplier of 1.9 and a cost per job of $20,000 per year. Our findings suggest that debt-financed increases in government spending can improve economic conditions during recessions.Received December 14, 2015; editorial decision February 28, 2017 by Editor Andrew Karolyi.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:30:y:2017:i:9:p:3223-3268.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25