Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2018
Volume: 14
Issue: 2
Pages: 301-340

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper introduces unspanned global factors within a FAVAR framework in a flexible reduced-form affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more than 80 percent of term premiums in advanced economies. In particular, they tend to explain long-term dynamics in yield curves, as opposed to domestic factors which are instead more relevant for short-run movements. We uncover a key role for the third principal component of the global term structure in shaping risk-neutral rates and term premium dynamics, especially in the post-2007 period.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2018:q:1:a:7
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24