Horizon Effects in Average Returns: The Role of Slow Information Diffusion

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2016
Volume: 29
Issue: 8
Pages: 2241-2281

Authors (4)

Oliver Boguth (not in RePEc) Murray Carlson (not in RePEc) Adlai Fisher (University of British Columbia) Mikhail Simutin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We characterize linkages between average returns calculated at different horizons. Theoretically, when stocks incorporate information slowly, average short-horizon returns are downward biased. Buy-and-hold strategies can amplify the effect. In contrast, existing theories analyze price noises that are independent of fundamentals, and buy-and-hold portfolio returns are unaffected. We document horizon effects as large as 10% annualized in daily and monthly style portfolios and international indices. Slow reaction to market information, identified by gradually declining lagged betas, is an important cause. These findings have natural consequences for performance evaluation. Received July 2, 2012; accepted June 28, 2015 by Editor Andrew Karolyi.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:29:y:2016:i:8:p:2241-2281.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25