Signaling in a Global Game: Coordination and Policy Traps

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2006
Volume: 114
Issue: 3
Pages: 452-484

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper introduces signaling in a global game so as to examine the informational role of policy in coordination environments such as currency crises and bank runs. While exogenous asymmetric information has been shown to select a unique equilibrium, we show that the endogenous information generated by policy interventions leads to multiple equilibria. The policy maker is thus trapped into a position in which self-fulfilling expectations dictate not only the coordination outcome but also the optimal policy. This result does not rely on the freedom to choose out-of-equilibrium beliefs, nor on the policy being a public signal; it may obtain even if the policy is observed with idiosyncratic noise.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:v:114:y:2006:i:3:p:452-484
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24