Common Macro Factors and Currency Premia

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2017
Volume: 52
Issue: 4
Pages: 1731-1763

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the role of domestic and global factors in the payoffs of portfolios mimicking carry, dollar-carry, and momentum strategies. Using factors summarizing large data sets of macroeconomic and financial variables, we find that global equity-market factors are predictive for carry-trade returns, whereas U.S. inflation and consumption variables drive dollar-carry-trade payoffs, momentum returns are predominantly driven by U.S. inflation factors, and global factors capture the countercyclical nature of currency premia. We also find predictability in the exchange-rate component of each strategy and demonstrate strong economic value for risk-averse investors with mean-variance preferences, regardless of base currency.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:52:y:2017:i:04:p:1731-1763_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25