Testing for rational bubbles in the UK housing market

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 53
Issue: 8
Pages: 962-975

Authors (5)

Xi Zhang (not in RePEc) Renatas Kizys (not in RePEc) Christos Floros (Hellenic Mediterranean Univers...) Konstantinos Gkillas (not in RePEc) Mark E. Wohar (University of Nebraska-Omaha)

Score contribution per author:

0.201 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Over the past decade, the UK has witnessed significant booms in the real estate market, and housing prices have experienced increases. Since 1997, the housing price has almost tripled, which is far beyond the long-term trend. To identify the existence of housing bubbles is a crucial issue for any country to prevent possible damage to economies and outbreaks of financial crises. The objective of this paper is to examine the existence of a housing price bubble in the UK through employing a co-explosive vector autoregression (VAR) model, originally applied to stock markets. The results demonstrate that both housing price and rental price show explosive behaviour during their growth, which provides little evidence to support the presence of real estate bubbles in the UK.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:962-975
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25