Household Debt and Monetary Policy: Revealing the Cash-Flow Channel

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2021
Volume: 131
Issue: 636
Pages: 1742-1771

Authors (4)

Martin Flodén (Sveriges Riksbank) Matilda Kilström (not in RePEc) Jósef Sigurdsson (not in RePEc) Roine Vestman (Stockholms Universitet)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the effect of monetary policy on household spending when households are indebted and interest rates on outstanding loans are linked to short-term interest rates. Using administrative data on balance sheets and consumption expenditure of Swedish households, we reveal the cash-flow transmission channel of monetary policy. On average, indebted households reduce consumption spending by an additional 0.23–0.55 percentage points in response to a one-percentage-point increase in the policy rate, relative to a household with no debt. We show that these responses are driven by households that have some or a large share of their debt in contracts where interest rates vary with short-term interest rates, such as adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which implies that monetary policy shocks are quickly passed through to interest expenses.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:131:y:2021:i:636:p:1742-1771.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25