Uncertain dynamics, correlation effects, and robust investment decisions

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2015
Volume: 51
Issue: C
Pages: 278-298

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze a firm׳s investment problem when the dynamics of project value and investment cost are uncertain. We provide an explicit solution using a robust method for an ambiguity averse firm taking this into account. Ambiguity aversion regarding a common risk factor impacts differently than ambiguity aversion regarding investment cost residual risk. Correlation between project value and investment cost matters; ambiguity aversion regarding common risk can decrease the investment probability only if correlation is positive. Ambiguity aversion regarding residual risk always increases the investment probability. When only project value is risky, volatility can monotonically decrease the investment threshold; this does not hold with the multiple prior method.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:278-298
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25