Unhedgeable shocks and statistical economic equilibrium

B-Tier
Journal: Economic Theory
Year: 2013
Volume: 52
Issue: 1
Pages: 187-235

Authors (3)

Eric Smith (not in RePEc) Duncan Foley (The New School) Benjamin Good (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a statistical concept of economic equilibrium as the stationary distribution of a random walk on the exchange equilibrium set (the contract set) of a pure exchange economy induced by unhedgeable shocks that perturb the economy from the exchange equilibrium set and subsequent disequilibrium trading that returns the economy to a new equilibrium. The Fokker–Planck equation for the resulting drift-diffusion process implies that the stationary distribution is independent of the size of the shock so that a small-disturbance limiting distribution is well defined. We present explicit solutions for the statistical equilibrium for the cases of quasilinear and Gorman-aggregatable Cobb–Douglas economies, and illustrate the results in the context of a generic dividend-discount model to emphasize the distinction between insurable risk and unhedgeable uncertainty in this context. The statistical equilibrium of income or wealth for quasilinear economies is described by an exponential Gibbs distribution. The statistical equilibrium income and wealth distributions for Gorman-aggregatable Cobb–Douglas economies can take a wider variety of forms, including power-law and gamma distributions. The statistical equilibria calculated for these examples suggest a close relation to widely observed statistical distributional regularities in real-world economies. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:spr:joecth:v:52:y:2013:i:1:p:187-235
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25