Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2015
Volume: 31
Issue: 3
Pages: 692-711

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper introduces regime switching parameters to the Mixed-Frequency VAR model. We begin by discussing estimation and inference for Markov-switching Mixed-Frequency VAR (MSMF-VAR) models. Next, we assess the finite sample performance of the technique in Monte-Carlo experiments. Finally, the MSMF-VAR model is used to predict GDP growth and business cycle turning points in the euro area. Its performance is then compared with those of a number of competing models, including linear and regime switching mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models. The results suggest that MSMF-VAR models are particularly useful for estimating the status of economic activity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:692-711
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25