Subjective life expectancies, time preference heterogeneity, and wealth inequality

B-Tier
Journal: Quantitative Economics
Year: 2024
Volume: 15
Issue: 3
Pages: 699-736

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines how objective and subjective heterogeneity in life expectancy affects savings behavior of healthy and unhealthy people. Using data from the Health and Retirement Study, we first document systematic biases in survival beliefs across self‐reported health: those in poor health not only have a shorter actual lifespan but also underestimate their remaining life time. To gauge the effect on savings behavior and wealth accumulation, we use an overlapping‐generations model where survival probabilities and beliefs evolve according to a health and survival process estimated from data. We conclude that differences in life expectancy are important to understand savings behavior, and that the belief biases, especially among the unhealthy, can explain up to a fifth of the observed health‐wealth gap.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:quante:v:15:y:2024:i:3:p:699-736
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25