Asymmetric transmission of oil supply news

B-Tier
Journal: Quantitative Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 16
Issue: 3
Pages: 947-979

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide new evidence on the asymmetries in the transmission of oil supply news shocks in the US using a nonlinear Proxy‐SVAR. A shock that increases oil prices has large and persistent effects on real activity and relatively small effects on prices. On the contrary, a shock that reduces oil prices has smaller real effects and large effects on prices. We rationalize these findings through the behavior of uncertainty: uncertainty increases independently of the sign of the shock, amplifying the contractionary real effects of a positive shock and dampening the expansionary real effects of a negative shock. The opposite holds for prices. We find little evidence of an asymmetric response of monetary policy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:quante:v:16:y:2025:i:3:p:947-979
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25