Preemption Games: Theory and Experiment

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2010
Volume: 100
Issue: 4
Pages: 1778-1803

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Several impatient investors with private costs <em>C<sub>i</sub></em> face an indivisible irreversible investment opportunity whose value <em>V</em> is governed by geometric Brownian motion. The first investor <em>i</em> to seize the opportunity receives the entire payoff, <em>V-C<sub>i</sub></em>. We characterize the symmetric Bayesian Nash equilibrium for this game. A laboratory experiment confirms the model's main qualitative predictions: competition drastically lowers the value at which investment occurs; usually the lowest-cost investor preempts the other investors; observed investment patterns in competition (unlike monopoly) are quite insensitive to changes in the Brownian parameters. Support is more qualified for the prediction that markups decline with cost. (JEL C73, D44, D82, G31)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:100:y:2010:i:4:p:1778-1803
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25