Bubbles and crashes: Gradient dynamics in financial markets

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2009
Volume: 33
Issue: 4
Pages: 922-937

Authors (2)

Friedman, Daniel (University of Essex) Abraham, Ralph (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Fund managers respond to the payoff gradient by continuously adjusting leverage in our analytic and simulation models. The base model has a stable equilibrium with classic properties. However, bubbles and crashes occur in extended models incorporating an endogenous market risk premium based on investors' historical losses and constant-gain learning. When losses have been small for a long time, asset prices inflate as fund managers increase leverage. Then slight losses can trigger a crash, as a widening risk premium accelerates deleveraging and asset price declines.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:33:y:2009:i:4:p:922-937
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25