The dynamics of international capital flows: Results from a dynamic hierarchical factor model

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2014
Volume: 48
Issue: PA
Pages: 101-124

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The present paper examines the degree of comovement of gross capital inflows, which is a highly sensitive issue for policy makers. We estimate a dynamic hierarchical factor model that is able to decompose inflows in a sample of 47 economies into (i) a global factor common to all types of flows and all recipient countries, (ii) a factor specific to a given type of capital inflows, (iii) a regional factor and (iv) a country-specific component. We find that the latter explains by far the largest fraction of fluctuations in capital inflows followed by regional factors, which are particularly important for emerging markets' FDI and portfolio inflows as well as bank lending to Emerging Europe. The global factor, however, explains only a small share of the overall variation. We also employ dynamic panel and time series regressions to explain the determinants of the estimated components. The global factor is shown to reflect U.S. financial conditions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:48:y:2014:i:pa:p:101-124
Journal Field
International
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25