The surprisingly low importance of income uncertainty for precaution

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2015
Volume: 79
Issue: C
Pages: 151-171

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

While it is common to use income uncertainty to explain household saving decisions, there is much disagreement about the importance of precautionary saving. This paper suggests that income uncertainty is not an important motive for saving, although households do have other precautionary reasons to save. Using a question from the Survey of Consumer Finances that asks how much households want for precautionary purposes, this paper shows that expressed household preferences, and liquid savings, are much lower than predicted by standard modeling assumptions. Households rarely list unemployment as a reason to save. Perceived income uncertainty does not affect liquid savings or precautionary preferences. Neither does being in an occupation with higher income volatility. Instead, households seem very concerned with expenditure shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:79:y:2015:i:c:p:151-171
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25