Tactical allocation in commodity futures markets: Combining momentum and term structure signals

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2010
Volume: 34
Issue: 10
Pages: 2530-2548

Authors (3)

Fuertes, Ana-Maria (City University) Miffre, Joëlle (not in RePEc) Rallis, Georgios (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines the combined role of momentum and term structure signals for the design of profitable trading strategies in commodity futures markets. With significant annualized alphas of 10.14% and 12.66%, respectively, the momentum and term structure strategies appear profitable when implemented individually. With an abnormal return of 21.02%, our double-sort strategy that exploits both momentum and term structure signals clearly outperforms the single-sort strategies. This double-sort strategy can additionally be utilized as a portfolio diversification tool. The abnormal performance of the combined portfolios cannot be explained by a lack of liquidity, data mining or transaction costs.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:34:y:2010:i:10:p:2530-2548
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25