Uncovered equity “disparity” in emerging markets

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 98
Issue: C
Pages: -

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The portfolio-rebalancing theory of Hau and Rey (2006) yields the uncovered equity parity (UEP) prediction that local-currency equity return appreciation is offset by currency depreciation. Vector autoregressive model estimation and tests for eight Asian emerging markets using daily data reveal instead a positive nexus between equity returns and currency returns. The extent of the uncovered equity “disparity” is time-varying and asymmetric since it exacerbates in crises. Our analysis suggests that the UEP failure is primarily due to investors’ return-chasing behavior. Robustness checks confirm that this explanation of the uncovered equity “disparity” is more appropriate than existing flight-to-safety or market risk conjectures.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:98:y:2019:i:c:5
Journal Field
International
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25