‘Expectancy confirmation in spite of disconfirming evidence: The case of price increases due to the introduction of the euro’

B-Tier
Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2006
Volume: 21
Issue: 46
Pages: 354-387

Authors (3)

Ignazio Angeloni (Harvard University) Luc Aucremanne (not in RePEc) Matteo Ciccarelli (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

DID EMU AFFECT PRICE SETTING AND INFLATION PERSISTENCE?Surprisingly not; or at least not directly. Using data on individual consumer prices and on sectoral inflation rates from six euro area countries spanning several years before and after the introduction of the euro, we look at whether EMU has altered the behaviour of price setters and/or the dynamics of inflation. We find no evidence of such change in 1999, when the euro was introduced as an electronic unit of account. At the start of 2002, when the paper currency appeared, the frequency of price adjustments (both upward and downward) increased suddenly, while the average magnitude of price changes fell; both, however, quickly settled back to the earlier patterns. Conversely, we do find evidence of a permanent decline in the persistence of inflation after the mid-1990s. While in principle this could be attributable to the preparation of EMU, this interpretation is put into question by the fact that a similar decline occurred also in the UK and in the US.— Ignazio Angeloni, Luc Aucremanne and Matteo Ciccarelli

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:ecpoli:v:21:y:2006:i:46:p:354-387.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24