Do people maximize quantiles?

B-Tier
Journal: Games and Economic Behavior
Year: 2022
Volume: 132
Issue: C
Pages: 22-40

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Quantiles are used for decision making in investment analysis and in the mining, oil and gas industries. However, it is unknown how common quantile-based decision making actually is among typical individual decision makers. This paper describes an experiment that aims to (1) compare how common is decision making based on quantiles relative to expected utility maximization, and (2) estimate risk attitude parameters under the assumption of quantile preferences. The experiment has two parts. In the first part, individuals make pairwise choices between risky lotteries, and the competing models are fitted to the choice data. In the second part, we directly elicit a decision rule from a menu of alternatives. The results show that a quantile preference model outperforms expected utility for 32%–55%, of participants, depending on the metric. The majority of individuals are risk averse, and women are more risk averse than men, under both models.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:gamebe:v:132:y:2022:i:c:p:22-40
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25