Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer Experiment

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2019
Volume: 11
Issue: 3
Pages: 232-60

Authors (5)

Sebastian Galiani (University of Maryland) Nadya Hajj (not in RePEc) Patrick J. McEwan (Wellesley College) Pablo Ibarrarán (not in RePEc) Nandita Krishnaswamy (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In a Honduran field experiment, sequences of cash transfers to poor households varied in amount of the largest (peak) and last (end) transfers. Larger peak-end transfers increased voter turnout and the incumbent party's vote share in the 2013 presidential election, independently of cumulative transfers. A plausible explanation is that voters succumbed to a common cognitive bias by applying peak-end heuristics. Another is that voters deliberately used peak-end transfers to update beliefs about the incumbent party. In either case, the results provide experimental evidence on the classic non-experimental finding that voters are especially sensitive to recent economic activity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejpol:v:11:y:2019:i:3:p:232-60
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25