Empirical Investigation of a Sufficient Statistic for Monetary Shocks

S-Tier
Journal: Review of Economic Studies
Year: 2025
Volume: 92
Issue: 4
Pages: 2165-2196

Authors (5)

Fernando Alvarez (not in RePEc) Andrea Ferrara (not in RePEc) Erwan Gautier (Université Paris-Dauphine (Par...) Hervé Le Bihan (not in RePEc) Francesco Lippi (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.609 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In a broad class of sticky-price models, the non-neutrality of nominal shocks is captured by a simple sufficient statistic: the ratio of the kurtosis of the price change distribution over the frequency of price changes. We test the sufficient statistic proposition using data for a large sample of products representative of the French economy. We first extend the theory to allow for empirically relevant monetary shocks with a transitory predictable component. We then use the microdata to measure kurtosis and frequency for about 120 producer price indices industries and 220 consumer price indices categories. We use a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model to measure the industries’ response to monetary shocks, under alternative identification schemes. The estimated degree of non-neutrality correlates with the kurtosis and the frequency consistently with the predictions of the theory. Several robustness checks are discussed.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:restud:v:92:y:2025:i:4:p:2165-2196.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25