Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and Beyond

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2000
Volume: 90
Issue: 4
Pages: 806-828

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper develops a unified growth model that captures the historical evolution of population, technology, and output. It encompasses the endogenous transition between three regimes that have characterized economic development. The economy evolves from a Malthusian regime, where technological progress is slow and population growth prevents any sustained rise in income per capita, into a Post-Malthusian regime, where technological progress rises and population growth absorbs only part of output growth. Ultimately, a demographic transition reverses the positive relationship between income and population growth, and the economy enters a Modern Growth regime, with reduced population growth and sustained income growth.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:90:y:2000:i:4:p:806-828
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25