Consumption smoothing or consumption binging? The effects of government-led consumer credit expansion in Brazil

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2024
Volume: 156
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Garber, Gabriel (Banco Central do Brasil) Mian, Atif (Princeton University) Ponticelli, Jacopo (not in RePEc) Sufi, Amir (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Brazil initiated a major credit expansion program through government banks in 2011. The program primarily targeted public sector workers with offers of payroll-backed loans. Using individual-level administrative data we find that the program led to a 15 percentage point rise in debt to initial income for public sector workers. We develop a new method for estimating workers' expected income growth, and show that “consumption smoothing” cannot explain the rise in consumer borrowing. Instead, the evidence supports “consumption binging”: less financially sophisticated workers borrowed more at high real interest rates, and experienced both higher consumption volatility and lower average consumption.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:156:y:2024:i:c:s0304405x24000576
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25