Spillover Effects of Mass Layoffs

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of the European Economic Association
Year: 2020
Volume: 18
Issue: 1
Pages: 427-468

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using administrative data on firms and workers in Germany, we quantify the spillover effects of mass layoffs. Our empirical strategy combines matching with an event study approach to trace employment and wages in regions hit by a mass layoff relative to suitable control regions. We find sizable and persistent negative spillover effects on the regional economy: regions, and especially firms producing in the same broad industry as the layoff plant, lose many more jobs than in the initial layoff. In contrast, negative employment effects on workers employed in the region at the time of the mass layoff are considerably smaller. Strikingly, workers younger than 50 suffer no employment losses, as geographic mobility fully shields them from the decline in local employment opportunities.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:jeurec:v:18:y:2020:i:1:p:427-468.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25