On the Structural Determinants of Growth-at-Risk

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2023
Volume: 19
Issue: 2
Pages: 251-293

Authors (3)

Martin Gächter (Leopold-Franzens-Universität I...) Martin Geiger (not in RePEc) Elias Hasler (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine structural differences in growth vulnerabilities across countries associated with financial risk indicators. Considering trade openness, financial sector size, the public spending ratio, and government effectiveness, our findings suggest the existence of a structural gap and a risk sensitivity gap. Hence, structural country characteristics not only drive level differences in growth-at-risk (GaR) but also give rise to differences in the responsiveness of GaR to financial risks. Furthermore, we show that the impact of structural characteristics varies over the forecasting horizon. A proper understanding of structural country characteristics in the context of the GaR framework is important to facilitate the use of the concept in macroprudential policy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2023:q:2:a:5
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25