What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? An empirical analysis

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2009
Volume: 41
Issue: 10
Pages: 1215-1227

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study examines the macro-economic determinants of survey inflation expectations in Brazil since the adoption of inflation targeting in 1999. The results suggest that the inflation-targeting framework has helped anchor expectations, with the dispersion of inflation expectations declining considerably, particularly during periods of high uncertainty. We also find that apart from the inflation target, the stance of fiscal policy, as proxied by the ratio of the consolidated primary surplus to GDP, has been instrumental in shaping expectations. The importance of past inflation in determining expectations appears to be relatively low, and the overall empirical evidence does not suggest the presence of substantial inertia in the inflation process.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1215-1227
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25