Rational Illiquidity and Consumption: Theory and Evidence from Income Tax Withholding and Refunds

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2022
Volume: 112
Issue: 9
Pages: 2959-91

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Low liquidity and a high marginal propensity to consume are tightly linked. This paper analyzes this link in the context of income tax withholding and refunds. A theory of rational cash management with income uncertainty endogenizes the relationship between illiquidity and the marginal propensity to consume, and can explain the finding that households tend to spend tax refunds as if they valued liquidity, yet do not act to increase liquidity by reducing their withholding. The theory is supported by individual-level evidence based on financial account records, including a positive correlation between the size of tax refunds and the marginal propensity to consume out of those refunds.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:112:y:2022:i:9:p:2959-91
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25