Measuring Interconnectedness between Financial Institutions with Bayesian Time-Varying Vector Autoregressions

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2018
Volume: 53
Issue: 3
Pages: 1371-1390

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a market-based framework that exploits time-varying parameter vector autoregressions to estimate the dynamic network of financial spillover effects. We apply it to financials in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index and estimate interconnectedness at the sectoral and institutional levels. At the sectoral level, we uncover two main events in terms of interconnectedness: the Long-Term Capital Management crisis and the 2008 financial crisis. After these crisis events, we find a gradual decrease in interconnectedness, not observable using the classical rolling-window approach. At the institutional level, our framework delivers more stable interconnectedness rankings than other comparable market-based measures.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:53:y:2018:i:03:p:1371-1390_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25