Re-evaluating Okun’s Law: Why all recessions and recoveries are “different”

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2020
Volume: 196
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between GDP growth, the unemployment rate and employment growth. Using a structural DSGE model and a data-rich estimation approach I am able to estimate the coefficients and correlations between GDP growth and unemployment rate changes, GDP growth and overall employment growth as well as GDP growth and employment growth by sector. I find equivalent estimates when I compare the simulated model with realized data. I then evaluate the effect different types of economic shocks have on these correlations and I find that investment and finance shocks have larger effects on employment growth and the unemployment rate when compared to productivity and other supply-side shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:196:y:2020:i:c:s0165176520303050
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25