Money and output asymmetry: the unintended consequences of central banks’ obsession with inflation

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 57
Issue: 38
Pages: 5942-5957

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The study re-examines the relationship between money and output for the US and the UK using quarterly data up to 2019. Modern central banks are focused on controlling inflation and adjust their monetary policy and liquidity accordingly. However, it is common practice to overlook the precise effects of those actions on other variables. Unlike prior research, which has mainly focused on the linear relationship, this paper examines the asymmetric impact of money on output. The results show that a decrease in the amount of money has a much more adverse impact on output than an increase. Globally, during COVID-19, there was an infusion of liquidity that might have been useful in the short term, but the withdrawal of that excess liquidity, as has been done currently by some major economies, may have long-term effects on those economies’ output.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:57:y:2025:i:38:p:5942-5957
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25