Causality in crude oil prices

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2011
Volume: 43
Issue: 24
Pages: 3337-3347

Authors (3)

Szymon Wlazlowski (not in RePEc) Bjorn Hagstromer (not in RePEc) Monica Giulietti (Loughborough University)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Crude oil markets witness growing disparity between the quality of crudes supplied and demanded in the market. The market share of low-quality crudes is increasing due to the depletion of old fields and increasing demand. This is unnerving the practitioners and affecting the relevance of the traditional benchmark crudes due to the lack of lower quality benchmarks (Montepeque, 2005). In this article, we apply Granger causality tests to study the price dependence of 32 crudes in order to establish which crudes drive other prices and which ones simply follow general market trends. Our results indicate that some of the old benchmarks are still relevant while others can be disregarded. Our results also interestingly show that the low-quality Mediterranean Russian Urals crude, introduced in the late 1990s, has emerged recently as a significant driver of global prices.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3337-3347
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25