Weekly economic activity: Measurement and informational content

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2023
Volume: 39
Issue: 1
Pages: 228-243

Authors (3)

Wegmüller, Philipp (not in RePEc) Glocker, Christian (Österreichisches Institut für ...) Guggia, Valentino (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We construct a composite index to measure the real activity of the Swiss economy on a weekly frequency. The index is based on a novel high-frequency data set capturing economic activity across distinct dimensions over a long time horizon. We propose a six-step procedure for extracting precise business cycle signals from the raw data. By means of a real-time evaluation, we highlight the importance of our proposed adjustment procedure: (i) our weekly index significantly outperforms a comparable index without adjusted input variables; and (ii) the weekly index outperforms established monthly indicators in nowcasting GDP growth. These insights should help improve other recently developed high-frequency indicators.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:39:y:2023:i:1:p:228-243
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25