Persistence of Current-account Disequilibria and Real Exchange-rate Misalignments

B-Tier
Journal: Review of International Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 23
Issue: 1
Pages: 137-159

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper aims at studying whether the persistence of the gap between the observed current-account position and its equilibrium value nonlinearly depends on real exchange-rate misalignments. Estimating a panel smooth transition regression model on a sample of 22 industrialized countries, we find evidence for this hypothesis, showing that persistence of current-account imbalances strongly depends on the deviation of the real exchange rate from its long-term equilibrium. More specifically, while there is no persistence in cases of currency undervaluation or weak overvaluation, persistence tends to augment for overvaluations higher than 11%. In addition, whereas disequilibria are persistent even for very low overvaluations in the euro area, persistence is observed only for overvaluations higher than 14% for non-eurozone members.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:reviec:v:23:y:2015:i:1:p:137-159
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25