The Voice of Monetary Policy

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 113
Issue: 2
Pages: 548-84

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a deep learning model to detect emotions embedded in press conferences after the Federal Open Market Committee meetings and examine the influence of the detected emotions on financial markets. We find that, after controlling for the Federal Reserve's actions and the sentiment in policy texts, a positive tone in the voices of Federal Reserve chairs leads to significant increases in share prices. Other financial variables also respond to vocal cues from the chairs. Hence, how policy messages are communicated can move the financial market. Our results provide implications for improving the effectiveness of central bank communications.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:113:y:2023:i:2:p:548-84
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25