The North American Natural Gas Liquids Markets are Chaotic

B-Tier
Journal: The Energy Journal
Year: 1999
Volume: 20
Issue: 1
Pages: 83-103

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we test for deterministic chaos (i.e., nonlinear deterministic processes which look random) in seven Mont Belview, Texas, hydrocarbon markets, using monthly data from 1985:1 to 1996:12--the markets are those of ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, naptha, crude oil, and natural gas. In doing so, we use the Lyapunov exponent estimator of Nychka, Ellner, Gallant, and McCaffrey (1992). We conclude that there is evidence, consistent with a chaotic nonlinear generation process in all five natural gas liquids markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:sae:enejou:v:20:y:1999:i:1:p:83-103
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25