Is Exchange Rate Centred Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Empirical Evidence from Singapore

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 55
Issue: 21
Pages: 2438-2454

Authors (3)

Tony Cavoli (not in RePEc) Sasidaran Gopalan (National University of Singapo...) Ramkishen S. Rajan (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The effectiveness of an exchange rate based monetary policy rule for Singapore given the highly open nature of the economy has been empirically well documented in the literature. However, what is somewhat less recognized is that monetary policy in Singapore has historically been conducted in an asymmetric manner where there is willingness to allow for greater appreciation of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) during boom periods to curb inflation but not to implement a policy of depreciation during a downturn, i.e. a strong Singapore dollar (SSD) policy. We contribute to the literature by being one of the first to test the empirical validity of a SSD policy. We do so by estimating a Taylor style monetary policy rule (MPR) for Singapore with NEER as the main instrument of policy using monthly data for 2000 to 2019. Our empirical findings suggest that Singapore’s MPR appears to react asymmetrically to inflation and output above a particular threshold but is predominantly concerned with inflation in the policy rule, offering evidence of a policy position consistent with SSD in that it allows for disproportionately higher NEER in boom periods.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2438-2454
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25