Spurious Inference in Reduced‐Rank Asset‐Pricing Models

S-Tier
Journal: Econometrica
Year: 2017
Volume: 85
Pages: 1613-1628

Authors (3)

Nikolay Gospodinov (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlant...) Raymond Kan (not in RePEc) Cesare Robotti (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This note studies some seemingly anomalous results that arise in possibly misspecified, reduced‐rank linear asset‐pricing models estimated by the continuously updated generalized method of moments. When a spurious factor (that is, a factor that is uncorrelated with the returns on the test assets) is present, the test for correct model specification has asymptotic power that is equal to the nominal size. In other words, applied researchers will erroneously conclude that the model is correctly specified even when the degree of misspecification is arbitrarily large. The rejection probability of the test for overidentifying restrictions typically decreases further in underidentified models where the dimension of the null space is larger than 1.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:emetrp:v:85:y:2017:i::p:1613-1628
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25