Weather-Induced Mood, Institutional Investors, and Stock Returns

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2015
Volume: 28
Issue: 1
Pages: 73-111

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study shows that weather-based indicators of mood impact perceptions of mispricing and trading decisions of institutional investors. Using survey and disaggregated trade data, we show that relatively cloudier days increase perceived overpricing in individual stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Index and increase selling propensities of institutions. We introduce stock-level measures of investor mood; investor optimism positively impacts stock returns among stocks with higher arbitrage costs, and stocks experiencing similar investor mood exhibit return comovement. These findings complement existing studies on how weather impacts stock index returns and identify another channel through which it can manifest.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:28:y:2015:i:1:p:73-111.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25