Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2024
Volume: 114
Issue: 12
Pages: 4015-51

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study regressions with multiple treatments and a set of controls that is flexible enough to purge omitted variable bias. We show these regressions generally fail to estimate convex averages of heterogeneous treatment effects—instead, estimates of each treatment's effect are contaminated by nonconvex averages of the effects of other treatments. We discuss three estimation approaches that avoid such contamination bias, including the targeting of easiest-to-estimate weighted average effects. A reanalysis of nine empirical applications finds economically and statistically meaningful contamination bias in observational studies; contamination bias in experimental studies is more limited due to smaller variability in propensity scores.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:114:y:2024:i:12:p:4015-51
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25