The hidden cost of raising voters’ expectations: Reference dependence and politicians’ credibility

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2016
Volume: 130
Issue: C
Pages: 126-143

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Two politicians compete to get elected. Each politician is characterized by a valence, which is unobservable to the electorate and can take one of two values: high or low. The representative voter prefers politicians with high valence, but random shocks may lead him to appoint a low-valence politician. Politicians make statements concerning their valence. If the voter is a standard expected utility maximizer, politicians’ statements lack any credibility and no information transmission takes place. By introducing reference dependence and loss aversion, we show that truthful communication is possible in equilibrium and we characterize the conditions under which it can arise. Intuitively, these behavioral biases introduce a cost of overstating one's valence as overstatements may shift the electorate's preferences toward better skilled opponents.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:130:y:2016:i:c:p:126-143
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25