Inference for VARs identified with sign restrictions

B-Tier
Journal: Quantitative Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 9
Issue: 3
Pages: 1087-1121

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

There is a fast growing literature that set‐identifies structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) by imposing sign restrictions on the responses of a subset of the endogenous variables to a particular structural shock (sign‐restricted SVARs). Most methods that have been used to construct pointwise coverage bands for impulse responses of sign‐restricted SVARs are justified only from a Bayesian perspective. This paper demonstrates how to formulate the inference problem for sign‐restricted SVARs within a moment‐inequality framework. In particular, it develops methods of constructing confidence bands for impulse response functions of sign‐restricted SVARs that are valid from a frequentist perspective. The paper also provides a comparison of frequentist and Bayesian coverage bands in the context of an empirical application—the former can be substantially wider than the latter.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:quante:v:9:y:2018:i:3:p:1087-1121
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25