We Do Not Know the Population of Every Country in the World for the Past Two Thousand Years

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic History
Year: 2023
Volume: 83
Issue: 3
Pages: 912-938

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Economists have reported results based on populations for every country in the world for the past two thousand years. The source, McEvedy and Jones’ Atlas of World Population History, includes many estimates that are little more than guesses and that do not reflect research since 1978. McEvedy and Jones often infer population sizes from their view of a particular economy, making their estimates poor proxies for economic growth. Their rounding means their measurement error is not “classical.” Some economists augment that error by disaggregating regions in unfounded ways. Econometric results that rest on McEvedy and Jones are unreliable. “… we haven’t just pulled the figures out of the sky. Well, not often.” —McEvedy and Jones (1978, p. 11)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jechis:v:83:y:2023:i:3:p:912-938_8
Journal Field
Economic History
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25