Commodity price shocks and the business cycle: Structural evidence for the U.S.

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2013
Volume: 37
Issue: C
Pages: 324-352

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper evaluates the relative importance of commodity price shocks in the U.S. business cycle. Therefore, we extend the standard set of business cycle shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. The resulting SVAR shows that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic fluctuations — second only to investment-specific technology shocks — particularly with respect to inflation. Neutral technology shocks and monetary policy shocks, on the other hand, seem less relevant at business cycle frequencies. Neutral technology shocks rather play an important role at low frequencies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:37:y:2013:i:c:p:324-352
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25