Do Credit Conditions Move House Prices?

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2025
Volume: 115
Issue: 10
Pages: 3559-96

Authors (2)

Daniel L. Greenwald (not in RePEc) Adam Guren (Boston University)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Did credit drive the 2000s housing cycle? The existing literature's findings range from credit having no effect to credit explaining most of the cycle. We show that these disparate results hinge on the extent to which landlords absorb credit-driven demand, which depends on the degree of housing market segmentation. We develop a model that nests cases between the extremes of no segmentation and perfect segmentation typically considered, estimate an elasticity that pins down the degree of segmentation, and use it to calibrate our model. We find credit standards played an important role, explaining 32 percent to 53 percent of the boom.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:10:p:3559-96
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25