Spillovers from stock markets to currency markets: Evidence from Copula-CoVar with time-varying higher moments

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 55
Issue: 52
Pages: 6091-6114

Authors (4)

Muhammad Usman (not in RePEc) Zaghum Umar (Zayed University) Mariya Gubareva (Universidade de Lisboa) Dang Khoa Tran (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study analyses the relationship between equites and foreign exchange markets by employing a conditional value at risk (CoVaR) framework for developed and developing economies accounting for an upside or downside shock, greater or equal to their VaRs. The CoVaR of currency returns conditional on both, the local equity and SP500 index are significant and greater than their unconditional VaRs for most currencies. The ∆CoVaRs for currency market conditional on the local stock index are greater than those conditional on the SP500, showing that local stock index provides greater contributions to the shocks in currency returns compared to the SP500 index. Our findings have important implications for developing cross-market and cross-border hedging strategies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6091-6114
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25