Stock Market's Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission: The Cash Flow Effect

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2022
Volume: 77
Issue: 4
Pages: 2375-2421

Authors (3)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show that firm liability structure and associated cash flows matter for firm behavior and that financial market participants price stocks accordingly. Stock price reactions to monetary policy announcements depend on the type and maturity of debt issued by the firms and the forward guidance provided by the Fed, both at and away from the zero lower bound. Further, the marginal stock market participant knows the current liability structures of firms and does not rely on rules of thumb. The cash flow exposure at the time of monetary policy actions predicts future investment, assets, and net worth, clearly violating the Modigliani‐Miller theorem.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:77:y:2022:i:4:p:2375-2421
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25