False (and Missed) Discoveries in Financial Economics

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2020
Volume: 75
Issue: 5
Pages: 2503-2553

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Multiple testing plagues many important questions in finance such as fund and factor selection. We propose a new way to calibrate both Type I and Type II errors. Next, using a double‐bootstrap method, we establish a t‐statistic hurdle that is associated with a specific false discovery rate (e.g., 5%). We also establish a hurdle that is associated with a certain acceptable ratio of misses to false discoveries (Type II error scaled by Type I error), which effectively allows for differential costs of the two types of mistakes. Evaluating current methods, we find that they lack power to detect outperforming managers.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:75:y:2020:i:5:p:2503-2553
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25