Life-Cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2006
Volume: 96
Issue: 4
Pages: 1308-1320

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Researchers in a variety of important economic literatures have assumed that current income variables as proxies for lifetime income variables follow the textbook errors-in-variables model. In our analysis of Social Security records containing nearly career-long earnings histories for the Health and Retirement Study sample, we find that the relationship between current and lifetime earnings departs substantially from the textbook model in ways that vary systematically over the life cycle. Our results can enable more appropriate analysis of, and correction for, errors-in-variables bias in any research that uses current earnings to proxy for lifetime earnings. (JEL D31, D91)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:96:y:2006:i:4:p:1308-1320
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25